Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.142482 0.161985 0.183554 0.209241 0.239082 0.272752 0.313754
2026-02-08 0.110023 0.135624 0.166661 0.207334 0.259634 0.325170 0.414363
2026-02-15 0.090542 0.118273 0.154201 0.204730 0.274873 0.370152 0.511700
2026-02-22 0.079748 0.109161 0.149384 0.209351 0.298116 0.427281 0.634370
2026-03-01 0.069544 0.098873 0.140785 0.206356 0.308774 0.466776 0.737339
2026-03-08 0.062418 0.091757 0.135355 0.206575 0.323367 0.513478 0.859623
2026-03-15 0.056552 0.085635 0.130384 0.206382 0.336656 0.559442 0.988979
2026-03-22 0.052658 0.081999 0.128659 0.210903 0.358047 0.622097 1.160849
2026-03-29 0.049034 0.078319 0.126313 0.213852 0.376813 0.682763 1.341516
2026-04-05 0.045814 0.074913 0.123952 0.216304 0.394785 0.744606 1.537931
2026-04-12 0.043372 0.072537 0.123030 0.221126 0.417800 0.820050 1.780953
2026-04-19 0.040600 0.069287 0.120169 0.221842 0.432631 0.880985 2.005139
2026-04-26 0.037913 0.065979 0.116944 0.221625 0.445927 0.941963 2.247650
2026-05-03 0.035253 0.062475 0.113004 0.219503 0.454927 0.995237 2.485694
2026-05-10 0.032799 0.059121 0.108996 0.216711 0.461975 1.045225 2.728780
2026-05-17 0.031448 0.057737 0.108672 0.221638 0.487359 1.144599 3.140536
2026-05-24 0.029376 0.054757 0.104851 0.218443 0.493026 1.195171 3.422130
2026-05-31 0.027832 0.052690 0.102687 0.218676 0.507089 1.270647 3.805829
2026-06-07 0.026382 0.050685 0.100456 0.218470 0.520017 1.345712 4.213130
2026-06-14 0.025484 0.049735 0.100371 0.223293 0.546792 1.465815 4.819641
2026-06-21 0.024509 0.048539 0.099631 0.226439 0.569626 1.579465 5.445512
2026-06-28 0.023560 0.047321 0.098724 0.229055 0.591472 1.695151 6.125140
2026-07-05 0.022858 0.046576 0.098810 0.234202 0.621449 1.843941 7.002960